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Declarations of the SDFM 2024

Declaration on the Liberation of Syria and on subsequent Israeli attacks - 2024.12.10

The F.M. congratulate the people of Syria to their liberation from an incredibly cruel dictatorship after 13 years of resistance. The fast collapse of Assad's regime may serve as warning to other dictators all around the world that sudden change is possible - it finally took less than 11 days to topple the tyrant. Now the SDFM hopes for a peaceful and just transition of power and a wise leadership following the interest of the Syrian nation and its communities. It is important to document and punish the crimes of Assad's minions. His allies, Iran, Hezbollah and especially Russia, need to understand that their past actions will have consequences. It is unthinkable that Russian bases continue to exist in Syria while the slaughterer Assad receives asylum in Moscow.

Instead of holding out their hand to a free Syria and peacefully negotiating the destruction of the WMD arsenal of the regime, Israel has decided to use the opportunity to bomb as many of Syria's arms depots, airports and research facilities as possible. The F.M. strongly condemn this action. Israel is planning to continue to occupy the Golan heights, possibly even extending the occupied territories. While the stability of Syria is in the interest of most other nations, including Turkey, the Israeli actions make it clear that this is not something Israel strives for. Unluckily, for Israel, the weapons which are being destroyed are not those of future wars.

Finally, the F.M. declare their support for the autonomous Syrian Kurdish region of Rojava. Its autonomy must be kept safe to protect the Kurdish people, a nation which has been too often short-changed by their neighbours. Their effort to suppress the Islamic State has been most impressive, also their attempt to set up a democratic system in a region where otherwise only authoritarians rule. The new Syrian government must work to stop Turkey from regularly attacking the region.

Declaration on Micronational Support for Ukraine - 2024.11.25

The excellent website MicroWiki contains a document collecting the various Micronational positions on the Russian aggression against Ukraine . Both the Dershowo Musograd and the Republic of Capricornia, as member states of the F.M., are now part of the list of Micronations supporting Ukraine. All Micronations which have diplomatic or economic links to the F.M. are luckily to be found in this list, too. For some of those, we recognize it to be a very courageous decision, regarding their circumstances.

The full economic boycott which was declared against Russia in 2022 is now being extended towards all Micronations who publicly support Russia by creating a respective entry in this list. All Musanian enterprises are required to check the list before establishing economic contacts with any Micronation.

Declaration on the Election of D.J. Trump as President of the United States - 2024.11.06

Yesterday, the majority of U.S. voters elected D.J. Trump as the 47th President of the United States. He will take office on 2025.01.20. May the Gods protect us.

Reflecting on the SDFM declaration on the first election of D.J. Trump , we discovered that at the start of 2015, the SDFM already published a warning and analysis regarding World War III, with basically the main observations as in the declaration from 2024.10.23. This does not mean the warnings were wrong. Like the russian attack on Ukraine, which we predicted in 2008 and which started in 2014 and exploded in 2022, history usually takes longer than one would expect, but then explodes with all force.

We fear that the second Trump term will prove this to be true, both in regards to the consequences within the U.S. and to the world wide crisis which is ever more escalating. The erratic nature of the man may deter China and North Korea from starting war, but at the same time, it may force Ukraine into an unstable peace and also allow Israel to escalate its wars. It is not probable that a Trump administration will be competent enough to contain these conflicts.

Declaration on Worldwide Conflict Expansion - 2024.10.23

Current information collected by JCOT makes it probable that in the next few days, a new phase of the ongoing number of conflicts may be reached. Israel is now prepared to attack Iran, and the first North Korean troops are reported to be deployed to the Kursk front in the Russia-Ukraine war. The currently ongoing BRICS summit can be seen as an attempt by the Axis countries (Russia, Iran, China and North Korea) to shore up support before entering this new phase.

On the side of the "Allies", it makes sense for the Nethanyahu government to expand the ongoing proxy conflicts before the U.S. elections, with the double goal to ensure U.S. military support while Biden remains in office and to support Trump politically by driving a wedge into supporters of Harris. After a row of successful assassinations of Hamas and Hizbollah leaders, Israel feels strong enough to take on Iran.

Regarding North Korea's involvement in the Russia-Ukraine war, it is clear that North Korea hopes to gain military experience in modern warfare in addition to financial profits. Those profits are essential for survival of the Kim Jong Un government and might also be used for the necessary "dronification" and modernisation of the NK army. For this, they are willing to take the risk of South Korean support for Ukraine, which currently is very low but could be scaled up massively in 2025.

Assuming a (not yet guaranteed) Trump presidency, we expect a process of U.S. distancing from the two conflicts. As already shown in his "deals" in Afghanistan and the Arab world, his tendency is to prefer bad deals with autocrats with negative consequences for future developments over any direct military U.S. involvement. The pattern will be similar to WW I and II - the U.S. waiting with their direct involvement until it is almost too late.

We see the quadriga of major conflicts (Ukraine - Russia, Israel - Iran, China - Taiwan & ASEAN, North Korea - South Korea) as a repetition of the "Allies" vs "Axis" pattern where a number of independent conflicts align into a dualistic pattern. With several of the involved countries equipped with nuclear weapons, the risk of a nuclear war is extremely high. The U.S., willing or not, will be involved when the Asian wing of these conflicts explodes, same as in WW II. The timescale depends on the development in the U.S. - a stable Democratic or Republican majority guaranteeing an orderly transition to a Harris or Trump presidency would lead to a later date (e.g. 2027-28), while chaos and breakdown in the U.S. may lead to an earlier outbreak of WW III.

The grave error of European and especially German politicians was that the conflict could be contained by slowing the Russia-Ukraine war down. The inverse is true - a fast escalation of economic and also military pressure would have been risky, but could have ended the war quickly and lead to change in Russia, like it happened regularly in that country after lost wars. What we now have is a situation where the alignment of conflicts has started and where military technology has developed so fast that current Western militaries with their expensive high end systems are at a disadvantage.

"It's Burning Down, No Way Out" - Doro Pesch, "Fire in the Sky".

Declaration on the russian Terrorist Attack on Poltawa - 2024.09.03

Today, the russian agressors attacked the city of Poltawa in eastern central Ukraine with two ballistic missiles, killing at least 51 people. One of the targets, an academy, was military oriented, another one, a hospital, not. Any attack on a large city using ballistic missiles is criminal as it is impossible for the civil population to reach any bunker in time. The F.M., via Musograd City, has a long standing connection to the city of Poltawa. It has long been understood that any direct attack on Poltawa would lead to appropriate measures and decisions on Musanian state level. This is now in process and will be executed on by the respective F.M. agencies as applicable.

The F.M. explicitely support the Ukrainian effort to occupy russian territory in the Kursk area and to be allowed to use Western weapons over longer distances.

Declaration on the situation in Israel and Palestine - 2024.04.04

Following the 2023.10.07 terrorist attack of Hamas on Israel, the IDF has been trying to re-occupy the Gaza strip. Surprisingly, after 6 months, this operation has not been completed, while resulting in an unprecedented humanitarian situation within the Gaza strip. In addition to more than 30'000 Palestinians, also foreign aid personnel have been killed by the IDF. The internal situation of Israel has not changed much in the period, with Nethanyahu still ruling the country.

Seen from a distance, the SDFM still comes to the "Foregone Conclusion" result reported earlier. In addition to the mechanisms of internal radicalisation due to the war and to demographic factors, the international position of Israel is becoming more and more fragile. The U.S. did not block an U.N. resolution regarding an armistice. Israel support in the U.S. is falling, both on the left which is pressing Biden to reduce arms deliveries and on the right, where Trump sees an additional populist pathway possibly connected with rightist antisemitism. Outside the core western countries, almost no support for Israel can be found. In combination with Israeli human rights violations, this leads to a reduction of Western credibility.

At the same time, Ukraine and other countries are demonstrating a paradigm change in arms technology with short and long range drones becoming a mainstay of the arsenal. Although this is also a strength of Israel, it will be almost impossible in the future to protect a country with no strategic depth from attacks with AI driven autonomous weapons. Israel's nuclear umbrella is also on the brink of losing its edge as Iran can now freely decide when to explode its first test bomb. It is well known that Hisbollah in Lebanon has built up an extreme arsenal of conventional missiles. At the same time, it is quite probable that this arsenal is also well filled with the output of Iran's drone factories.

The logical consequence of these factors is that a number of actors in the region will be waiting for the opportunity to attack Israel within the next few years. This opportunity might come with the predicted chaos of the U.S. elections and their aftermath. Israel would be well advised to come to a position of internal unity fast and to enter a path towards peaceful co-existence with Palestinians within the next few months. Only internal stability and external support will stop Iran and their allies from attacking the country. If this fails, the situation might escalate fast, especially if the JCOT predictions regarding other geopolitical situations come true.

NATO countries are now preparing for a Trump-led U.S. and its consequences. They should look at the situation in Israel and possible large scale evacuation actions, too, with Germany having the highest "responsibility to protect". The SDFM believes that a program similar to the Musogradian Redfeet Resettlement Program in Thylacinia, leading to the birth of the Republic of Capricornia in the sparsely settled north of the F.M., may need to be though over and prepared by Germany .

Declaration on Sponsors of War against Ukraine - 2024.01.12

The Federated Micronations declare that they support the " Sponsors of War " list created by the Ukrainian government. This list describes companies who openly operate in Russia, supporting the agressor state by paying taxes, supplying the population with consumer goods and especially the arms industry with manufacturing equipment. Those companies will be boycotted by the F.M. and its institutions and entities, which also includes disinvestment if applicable.

Examples on the list are Nestlé (actually under boycott since 2013 for other disgressions), Metro and its subsidiaries, the building materials corporation Knauf and the machine builder Spinner. For Nestlé and other processed food corporations like Unilever, Mars and Mondelez, a higher level of attentiveness is being ordered for any import and purchase activities.

Declaration on the Presidential Elections in Taiwan - 2024.01.15

The Federated Micronations congratulate Lai Ching-te of the Democratic Progressive Party on winning the Presidential Election on 2024.01.13. We reject any criticism regarding this election coming from the PRC, a country where there have been no democratic multi-party elections at all in the last 75 years.

The Federated Micronations continue to recognize the Republic of Taiwan as an independent nation. The PRC, as an agressive imperial state, is not recognized by the F.M.. We believe that the Republic of Taiwan has every right and also the means to defend its freedom against PRC agression. We call upon the Western nations to reduce their exposure to PRC blackmail. The F.M. are looking forward to extend their contacts and exchanges with the Republic of Taiwan.